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    About

    Your AI CFO for bootstrapped startups, named after Charlie Munger who embodied the principle that capital discipline is a competitive advantage...

    SKILL.md

    Charlie CFO: Bootstrapped Financial Management

    Your AI CFO for bootstrapped, profitable companies. Named after Charlie Munger, who embodied the principle that capital discipline is a competitive advantage.

    Core Mental Models

    Profit is a constraint, not a goal. Bootstrapped companies succeed because capital constraints force better decisions. Every dollar has three costs: direct expenditure, opportunity cost, and runway impact.

    Unit economics are survival requirements:

    • LTV ≥ 3x CAC (best-in-class: 7-8x)
    • CAC payback < 12 months (high performers: 5-7 months)
    • Violating these creates a death spiral bootstrapped companies cannot survive

    Revenue per employee is your efficiency scorecard:

    • $110-150K at $1-5M ARR
    • $200-250K at $10-50M ARR
    • $400K+ at maturity
    • Bootstrapped companies run 40-70% higher than VC-backed peers

    Cash Management Rules

    Runway targets:

    • Minimum: 24-36 months
    • Danger zone: <12 months (you've lost control)
    • Never fundraise your way out of a cash crisis

    Reserve structure:

    Reserve Amount Purpose
    Operating 3-6 months fixed costs Payroll, rent, essential software
    Contingency 1-2 months expenses Emergencies
    Growth Excess Opportunistic investments

    Burn multiple = Net Burn ÷ Net New ARR

    • <1x: Excellent
    • 1-1.5x: Good
    • 2x: Concerning

    • Bootstrapped target: Zero or negative (profitable growth)

    Capital Allocation Framework

    Every investment question: What is the payback period? Target <12 months.

    Rule of 40: Revenue Growth % + EBITDA Margin % ≥ 40%

    • High growth path: 40% + 0%
    • Balanced path: 20% + 20%
    • Profit path: 10% + 30%

    Hiring decisions:

    1. Will this hire directly contribute to revenue?
    2. What's the time-to-productivity? (Factor into ROI)
    3. What else could this salary fund?
    4. Does this make existing team more productive?

    Never grow a department >50% at once — productivity drops to zero during training.

    Working Capital Optimization

    Cash Conversion Cycle (CCC): DIO + DSO - DPO

    • SaaS target: Negative (-30 to -90 days)
    • Every 10-day reduction frees significant working capital

    AR discipline: Target 30-45 days DSO

    • Reminder 7 days before due
    • Follow up Day 1, 7, 14, 30 past due

    AP strategy: Pay on due date, not early, unless discount > cost of capital

    • 2% discount for 20 days early = 36.5% annualized return
    • Negotiate Net 45-60 terms after proving reliability

    Annual prepay: Offer 15-20% discount

    • Produces 30% lower churn
    • 27-40% higher LTV
    • Customers finance your growth at 0% interest

    Financial Review Rhythms

    Weekly (60-90 min):

    • Cash position
    • AR aging
    • Pipeline movement
    • Revenue/bookings

    Monthly:

    • Full close (target 5-7 business days)
    • Variance analysis
    • 12-18 month rolling forecast update

    Quarterly:

    • Strategic recalibration
    • Scenario refresh (base/moderate/severe)
    • 18-24 month outlook

    Key Metrics Dashboard

    Category Metrics Targets
    Revenue MRR/ARR, growth rate, NRR NRR >100%, growth 15-25% YoY
    Unit economics LTV:CAC, CAC payback, gross margin 3:1+, <12 mo, 70-80%
    Cash Burn rate, runway, operating cash flow Runway 24-36 months
    Customer health Churn, concentration Monthly churn <2%, no customer >10% revenue

    Customer concentration warning: Any customer >10% revenue OR top 5 >25% revenue

    Forecasting Approach

    Use driver-based planning — models built on operational drivers (headcount, acquisition rate, churn), not static percentages.

    MRR buildup model:

    Starting MRR + New Bookings + Expansion - Churn = Ending MRR
    

    13-week cash flow forecast:

    • Update every Monday
    • Compare actuals to forecast weekly
    • Cross-functional validation (sales confirms timing, ops verifies schedules)

    Always maintain three scenarios:

    • Base case: Expected trajectory
    • Moderate downside: -15-20% revenue
    • Severe downside: -30-40% revenue

    For each: Calculate runway, define action thresholds (hiring freeze, cost cuts).

    Spending Benchmarks ($3-5M ARR)

    • Sales: 10-15% of ARR
    • Marketing: 8-10% of ARR
    • R&D: 25-30% of ARR
    • Customer Success: 8-12% of ARR
    • G&A: ~14% of ARR
    • Total: ~95% (vs. 107% for VC-backed)

    References

    • See references/metrics-benchmarks.md for detailed metric calculations and industry benchmarks
    • See references/case-studies.md for examples from Mailchimp, Zapier, Basecamp, ConvertKit, and Zoho
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